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Errors, power and sample size

1.[3p]

Match each quantity to what it is.

  • Type I error

  • Type II error

  • Power

  • Noncentrality

  • the chance of detecting a real effect

  • the true effect in standard errors

  • failing to reject a null that is false

  • rejecting a null that is true

Show the answer

Type I error: rejecting a null that is true Type II error: failing to reject a null that is false Power: the chance of detecting a real effect Noncentrality: the true effect in standard errors

2.[1p]

A study of 100 observations tests two-sided at α=0.05 with true standardised effect d=0.3. What is λ=dn?

CorrectNot quite: 3

3.[3p]

For that study, power is Φ(λ-1.96). What is it, to two decimal places?

CorrectNot quite: 0.85

4.[3p]

Using n=7.849/d2 for 80 per cent power, how many observations are needed to detect d=0.2? Round up.

CorrectNot quite: 197

5.[2p]

Power can be quoted as a single number for a study, without reference to any particular effect size.

The answer is: False
Correct

6.[3p]

Why do underpowered studies exaggerate the effects they report?

Correct
The answer is: Only unusually large estimates cross the significance threshold, so the published ones are a biased selection
The answer is: Only unusually large estimates cross the significance threshold, so the published ones are a biased selection
The answer is: Only unusually large estimates cross the significance threshold, so the published ones are a biased selection

7.[2p]

A study with 20 per cent power has an exaggeration ratio of 2.26 and reports d=0.60. What is the implied true effect, to two decimal places?

CorrectNot quite: 0.27

8.[3p]

One hypothesis in ten is true, power is 0.80 and α=0.05. What fraction of significant findings are true, to two decimal places?

CorrectNot quite: 0.64

9.[3p]

Which changes raise the fraction of significant findings that are true?

Select all that apply

Correct
Correct
Correct
The answer is: Increasing the power of the studies, Lowering the significance threshold, Investigating hypotheses with a higher prior chance of being true